How Tariffs Caused Chaos on Investor Behaviour
Michael Asadoorian - Feb 07, 2025
The T word...Tariffs! You couldn't run and hide from the T word this past week - it consumed all news media and social media. If you turned on the news, you heard breathless analysis about economic doom. And if you checked the markets early in the day… well, you probably saw a lot of red. But by the closing bell? A near-full recovery, thanks to a one-month truce on tariffs. Panic in the morning, relief in the afternoon—a perfect case study in how emotion drives short-term market moves.
Tariffs: The Ultimate Political Boogeyman
The mere mention of tariffs sent markets into a temporary spiral, fueled by alarming headlines and knee-jerk reactions. But here’s the thing—do you really think the U.S. president, barely weeks into his term, is eager to kick off his tenure with a recession? Don't answer that, rhetorical question! Tariffs are a negotiating tool, not a long-term economic policy. Even if they’re announced, they often get watered down, delayed, or quietly reversed before any real damage is done.
Yet, the market acted like this was the beginning of the end. Investors flooded inboxes and phone lines with concerns, and the media (never ones to miss a good panic) ran with it. Then, as soon as a temporary truce was announced, the market bounced back—almost as if it had overreacted in the first place. Imagine that.
The Real Issue: Our Own Worst Enemy
The bigger lesson here isn’t about tariffs—it’s about us. Behavioral investing tells us that markets don’t just react to news; they react to how we react to news. The real volatility wasn’t tariffs themselves, but the emotional rollercoaster they triggered. Fear-based decision-making, whether it’s from individual investors or institutional traders, creates short-term chaos for those trying to keep their eye on the long-term.
So, what do we do? First, recognize that headlines are designed to grab attention, not provide balanced analysis - that doesn't sell! Second, remember that markets move on fundamentals over the long-term, not momentary political drama in the short-term. And finally, when panic sets in, zoom out—history shows that reactionary selling is usually a mistake.
“The investor’s chief problem—and even his worst enemy—is likely to be himself.” – Benjamin Graham